Trump's Exec Order #14154 Could Be a "Millionaire-Maker"

Trump's next move could cement his legacy--and trigger a historic wealth boom. Ex-presidential advisor Jim Rickards reveals how it could hand millions a shot at true financial freedom. Watch the urgent interview while it's still free.

Under the Radar: Maximize Returns with Time-Tested Investment Formulas

Tim Melvin
January 21, 2025

Last month, two European quants, one working for Robeco and the other for Allianz, published a paper asking (and answering) whether formulaic investing is possible. Marcel Schwartz of Allianz and Matthias X. Hanauer of Robeco are also associated with the Technical University of Munich.

The pair studied four formulas, including a conservative low-volatility strategy, The Acquirers Multiple, The Piotroski F-Score, and Joel Greenblatt’s Magic Formula.

Interestingly, people associated with developing these formulas, such as Tobias Carlisle of Acquirers Funds and Wes Gray and Jack Vogel of Alpha Architect, also consulted on the paper.

To make a long story short, all four formulas delivered excess returns.

I am a huge fan of formula investing and have used the Acquirers Multiple and the F-Score strategies successfully over the years.

To me, they are both extensions of Ben Graham’s original value-investing and margin-of-safety theories.

I am quite familiar with the Magic Formula, although I have not used it as much as I probably should have.

If the Acquirers Multiple and F-Score models are descendants of Ben Graham, the Magic Formula is the reincarnation of a young Charlie Munger. Greenblatt’s formula helps identify companies that are earning high returns on the capital used to build and run the business and trading at bargain prices.

I decided to run a survey to find stocks that fit the Magic Formula definition in today’s overheated market.

I also added some features that increase my comfort level with owning these bargain issues.

The broader market may face tough sledding going forward as large-cap stocks are priced for perfection in an imperfect world.

Because of that, I want to collect a dividend.

Dividends, once paid, cannot be taken away.

Finally, I am always aware that it is unlikely that one will beat the market by doing what everyone else does.

I want my stocks to be under-owned by institutions.

If the company keeps earning high returns on capital, the big money funds will eventually pile into the stock, and their buying pressure will send the prices soaring.

United-Guardian (Ticker: UG) makes the list of undervalued high-return companies.

Although the name sounds like an insurance company, United-Guardian makes personal and medical lubricants and pharmaceuticals.

The company is earning very high returns on the capital employed in the business, with an earnings yield of over 10%.

The cash dividend yield is 5.6% at the current price.

Although it is not part of the formula, United-Guardian also has a bulletproof balance sheet with plenty of cash and no long-term debt.

The President of United-Guardian owns almost 30% of the company, which has discouraged institutions from buying the stock. Funds currently own just 22% of the company.

We often find high-return companies trading at bargain prices because they are in a business everyone hates.

This is doubly true for Alliance Resource Partners LP (Ticker: ARLP).

This natural resource company mines coal and sells it to utilities and industrial users in the United States.

I would be hard-pressed to think of a business more hated than coal in today’s world.

Moreover, Alliance Resource Partners is just that: a partnership.

It is a Master Limited Partnership, which means you get a K-1 instead of a 1099 each year for tax purposes.

K-1s are a pain in the backside region.

It is probably worth putting up with the hassle. Alliance Resources earns high returns on capital and generates a ton of cash, most of which ends up in shareholders’ pockets.

The earnings yield is 13%, and the cash dividend yield is 10.25%.

While coal is the dominant business, Alliance also has a growing royalties business. It owns 68,578 net royalty acres in premier oil and gas producing regions that produce over 3 million barrels equivalent of crude and natural gas.

Plenty of skin is in the game as insiders own about 17% of this company.

Most institutional managers would cut off a limb before getting caught with a coal company on their sheets, so ownership by the big funds is just 17%.

On the renewable fuel side of the equation, we find Future Fuel (Ticker: FF), a company that makes fuels from a mix of diesel, vegetable oils, and grease feedstock.

They also have a chemical division that makes products used in everything from farming to dish detergent.

The dividend yield is over 4%, and the earnings yield is over 15%.

Institutions own very little stock apart from index funds.

Insiders, on the other hand, own 41% of Future Fuel.

You may notice that I did not do a “deep dive” on any of these companies.

That is the whole idea of formulaic investing.

In the last interview he gave, Ben Graham suggested that most investors would be better served by a value-based formula approach to investing.

He told the Financial Analysts Journal, “In the old days, any well-trained security analyst could do a good professional job of selecting undervalued issues through detailed studies; but in the light of the enormous amount of research now being carried on, I doubt whether in most cases such extensive efforts will generate sufficiently superior selections to justify their cost.”

He suggested instead that a formula approach, rigidly followed, would likely deliver market-beating results with a minimum of effort. Who are we to argue with Ben?

Continue Reading...

Popular

Cathie Wood's Alpha Surge: $250 Million Circle Windfall, Big AMD Buys

Cathie Wood, founder and CEO of ARK Invest, has recently been on a hot streak of successful and high-profile trades through her flagship ARK ETFs. 

BigBear.ai, AMD, QuantumScape, Coinbase, Tesla: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today

U.S. stocks ended the day on a high note, with the Nasdaq gaining over 1.4% on Tuesday to 19,912.53. The Dow also traded up 1.2% to 43,089.02, while the S&P 500 rose by 1.1% to 6,092.18. These are the top stocks that gained the attention of retail traders and investors throughout the day:

The Missing Ingredient for Big Tech's $3T Recipe? - Ad

Big Tech doesn't build everything; they buy what's next. And only Emteq's tech offers real behavior insights for smart glasses, key to unlocking the $3T XR market. Their patented sensors track live facial muscle movements. With health-focused smart glasses in demand, only Emteq has this tech.

Nike Beats The Street And Says The Worst Is Over

Nike Inc (NKE) stock rallies after upbeat fiscal Q4 results. Analysts maintain Buy ratings, raise price targets, citing potential for growth.

BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Soars 21%: What's Going On?

Shares of BigBear.ai are trading sharply higher Tuesday afternoon. The rally comes without any new company-specific announcements.

A Historic Gold Announcement Is About to Rock Wall Street - Ad

The greatest investor of all time is about to validate what Garrett Goggin has been saying for months: Gold is entering a once-in-a-generation mania. Front-running Buffett has never been more urgent - and four tiny miners could be your ticket to 100X gains.

Oracle Launches New Defense Program To Help US Military Tap Into AI And Cloud Tech

Oracle Corp announced the Oracle Defense Ecosystem, a global initiative to enhance technology innovation for defense & government sectors.

How Senate Republicans want to change the tax breaks in Trump's big bill

WASHINGTON (AP) — House and Senate Republicans are taking slightly different approaches when it comes to the tax cuts that lawmakers are looking to include in their massive

If You Missed Tesla, Here's Your "Second Chance"... - Ad

If you missed your shot at turning $1,000 into more than $18,000 when I recommended Tesla, you'll want to pay close attention. I'm 100% convinced Elon's "Agenda X" could make early investors rich. But you need to hurry, because Elon and Visa are moments away from launching.

These are the celebs who are attending Jeff Bezos’ Venice wedding

VENICE, Italy (AP) — arrived in Venice on Thursday, leading a star-studded guest list of celebrities descending on the lagoon city for the weekend wedding of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez.

Elon Musk Has A New Problem: BYD Beats Tesla In Global EV Sales Amid Europe Expansion

BYD has surpassed Tesla in global sales for the first time according to the International Council on Clean Transportation.

Crypto Genius: These 5 Altcoins Could Crush Bitcoin in 2025 - Ad

On June 30th, two powerful "Wealth Drivers" ignite what could be a 2025 super bull run-backed by Trump. One investmentThe altcoin market as a whole has already soared 132,721% over the past ten years and could surge again. A $900 stake could turn into $108K over 12 months. This is The Great Gain of 2025.

Latin America's Hot Stocks: 3 NYSE Picks To Dodge Trade Wars, Mideast Mayhem

Latin American markets, boosted by Brazil's Bovespa & Mexico's IPC, offer diversification and stability amid tariff threats and chaos. NYSE-listed Vale, Ambev, and Cemex are compelling with high yields, low P/E ratios, and resilience to trade tensions and Middle East volatility.

DOGE-Fame 'Big Balls' Is Reportedly Leaving The Government Department Once Headed By Elon Musk — Dogecoin Price Rises

Another key figure at the Department of Government Efficiency, nicknamed “Big Balls”, has reportedly stepped down, following the exit of Elon Musk from the federal initiative meant to reduce wasteful spending.

AI Bloodbath Coming on June 1st? - Ad

If you're invested in AI stocks, you need to see Elon Musk's new invention. A $2.2 trillion shakeup could hit as soon as June 1--crashing giants like Nvidia. Former hedge fund manager Enrique Abeyta reveals how to prepare.

Trump Administration Enforces Long-Dormant World War II-Era Alien Registration Act

The Trump administration has reactivated the Alien Registration Act, a World War II-era law that requires all non-citizens in the U.S. to register with the government and provide fingerprints.

Apple Study Asks Whether AI Can Think For Itself: Experts Say Its Limits Are Human-Made

Apple's new study challenges the idea that AI models can reason through problems, as they often fail when faced with unfamiliar challenges.

How to Hack a $1.3T Market - Ad

Forget concrete. The new foundation for real estate success is digital, and Pacaso leads the way. Their tech unlocks a $1.3T real estate market. They've already earned $110M+ in gross profits in their operating history and reserved the Nasdaq ticker PCSO.

FDA requires updated warning about rare heart risk with COVID shots

WASHINGTON (AP) — said Wednesday it has expanded existing warnings on the two leading COVID-19 vaccines about a rare heart side effect mainly seen in young men.

Must-See: Elon's New "Space" Device - Ad

Tech legend Jeff Brown predicts this "space technology" will be Elon Musk's next trillion-dollar business, and it will make a lot of people rich. This could be the biggest internet innovation since the first web browser Netscape kicked off the internet boom in the late 1990s.

GOP tax bill would cost poor Americans $1,600 a year and boost highest earners by $12,000, CBO says

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Republican tax bill would cost the poorest Americans roughly $1,600 a year while increasing the income of the wealthiest households by an average of $12,000 annually, according to a Thursday by the Congressional Budget Office.

Limited Impact On Intuitive Surgical From Reprocessed Robotic Instruments: Analyst

Intuitive Surgical remains in focus as analysts weigh reprocessing risks after Restore Robotics secures FDA clearance for remanufactured tools.

A 64% Dividend From Gold? - Ad

Gold is soaring. But here's what no one's talking about: a way to earn a 64% dividend-paid in real cash every 30 days. No trading. No risky mining stocks. Just one simple move in your brokerage account... and you could start collecting monthly income almost instantly.

US Credit Card Debt Hits $1.18 Trillion As Americans Downplay What They Owe

American credit card debt has surged to an astronomical $1.18 trillion, with a significant number of individuals reportedly concealing their financial predicaments.

You Voted for Trump. You Didn't Vote for This... - Ad

Markets in chaos-stocks wiped out, tariffs from the 1930s, agencies collapsing. But it's not random: Trump's "GREAT RESET" is a four-year plan to reset markets, risking $10T in value. Discover if your retirement is in danger and learn the one trade that could turn $1,000 into $29,000 by the end of 2026.

Bitcoin Holds $105,000 But Analyst Warns: 'We Need Fresh Capital'

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is holding firm near the $105,000 level, but with momentum fading and money flow lagging, traders are questioning whether the next move will be a breakout or a dip that creates fresh long opportunities.

Trump's Exec Order #14154 Could Be a "Millionaire-Maker" - Ad

Trump's next move could cement his legacy--and trigger a historic wealth boom. Ex-presidential advisor Jim Rickards reveals how it could hand millions a shot at true financial freedom. Watch the urgent interview while it's still free.

Public Company Bitcoin Holdings Are A 'Megatrend' Just Getting Started, Says Bitwise's Matt Hougan

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management on Monday described the surge in public companies holding Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) as a “megatrend” that is set to accelerate, driven by concerns over dollar devaluation and

The Missing Ingredient for Big Tech's $3T Recipe? - Ad

Big Tech doesn't build everything; they buy what's next. And only Emteq's tech offers real behavior insights for smart glasses, key to unlocking the $3T XR market. Their patented sensors track live facial muscle movements. With health-focused smart glasses in demand, only Emteq has this tech.

Occidental Petroleum, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Surge In Monday Pre-Market: What's Going On?

Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE: OXY), Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM) and Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) climbed 1.95%, 1.53% and 1.31% during Monday pre-market trading session after oil prices have skyrocketed to their highest point since January, sparking concerns about potential supply disruptions.

Bitcoin's Current Cycle Sees A 656% Surge, Matching Market Maturation Pace

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), the leading cryptocurrency globally, has recorded a 656% surge in its ongoing cycle.

A Historic Gold Announcement Is About to Rock Wall Street - Ad

The greatest investor of all time is about to validate what Garrett Goggin has been saying for months: Gold is entering a once-in-a-generation mania. Front-running Buffett has never been more urgent - and four tiny miners could be your ticket to 100X gains.

Ford Says Upcoming Budget EV Platform Will Rival Chinese EV Prices: Report

Ford's new affordable EV platform to match Chinese counterparts on cost, offering over 8 body styles and using Prismatic LFP batteries.

College graduates face toughest job market in more than a decade as hiring slows

WASHINGTON (AP) — While completing a master’s degree in data analysis, Palwasha Zahid moved from Dallas to a town near . The location made it easy to visit the campuses of tech stalwarts such as Google, Apple, and .

If You Missed Tesla, Here's Your "Second Chance"... - Ad

If you missed your shot at turning $1,000 into more than $18,000 when I recommended Tesla, you'll want to pay close attention. I'm 100% convinced Elon's "Agenda X" could make early investors rich. But you need to hurry, because Elon and Visa are moments away from launching.

Senate Republicans move to slash CFPB funding by half, risking hundreds of job cuts

NEW YORK (AP) — Senate Republicans have moved to cut the funding of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau by roughly half, as part of President Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill,” which is likely to lead to hundreds of job cuts at the nation’s financial watchdog agency.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright smartmoneytrading.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service